<- Back to Portfolio

5-Year EPS & Revenue Valuation Model

Intuitive 5-year valuation engine projecting Revenue, Net Margins, and EPS into Year 5 target prices with interlocked floor & ceiling scenario controls.

Quick Select:source: preset

AAPL

Apple Inc.NASDAQ

Consumer Electronics & Software // Base: USD

Current Market Price$325.13
Current P/E37.2x
TTM Revenue$466.82B
Net Profit Margin27.6%
Current EPS (TTM)$8.73
Diluted Shares14.59B
Market Cap$4.75T
[FLOOR_&_CEILING_LOCK_ACTIVE] Bear inputs enforce the floor; Bull inputs enforce the ceiling. Adjusting any parameter dynamically aligns adjacent cases.
Bear Case
Floor Baseline
Year 5 Target Price
$289.83
-10.9% Return-2.3%/yr
Annual Revenue Growth
%
Target Net Margin
%
Exit P/E Multiple
x
Year 5 Revenue:$692.29B
Year 5 Net Income:$162.69B
Year 5 EPS:$11.15
Base Case (Consensus)
Primary Target
Year 5 Target Price
$697.98
+114.7% Return+16.5%/yr
Annual Revenue Growth
%
Target Net Margin
%
Exit P/E Multiple
x
Year 5 Revenue:$997.50B
Year 5 Net Income:$275.31B
Year 5 EPS:$18.86
Bull Case
Optimistic Ceiling
Year 5 Target Price
$1,341.69
+312.7% Return+32.8%/yr
Annual Revenue Growth
%
Target Net Margin
%
Exit P/E Multiple
x
Year 5 Revenue:$1.31T
Year 5 Net Income:$416.61B
Year 5 EPS:$28.55
[Fig 2. Compounding]

Year-by-Year Progression (Years 1 to 5)

Annual compounding schedule of Projected Revenue, Net Income, and EPS.

Valuation MetricBear CaseBase CaseBull Case
Revenue Growth Rate YoY8.2%16.4%23.0%
Target Net Profit Margin23.5%27.6%31.7%
Exit P/E Multiple26x37x47x
Projected Year 5 Revenue$692.29B$997.50B$1.31T
Projected Year 5 Net Income$162.69B$275.31B$416.61B
Projected Year 5 EPS$11.15$18.86$28.55
Projected Year 5 Stock Price$289.83$697.98$1,341.69
Total 5-Year Return %-10.9%+114.7%+312.7%
5-Year Projected CAGR-2.3%/yr+16.5%/yr+32.8%/yr
[01]

Revenue & EPS Projections

Revenue compounds annually at the growth rate over 5 years. Target net profit margin is applied to determine Year 5 Net Income, which is divided by shares outstanding to yield projected Year 5 EPS.

[02]

Exit P/E Multiple & Price

Projected Year 5 Stock Price equals Year 5 EPS multiplied by the Terminal Exit P/E multiple. This represents the market valuation multiple expected at the end of the 5-year holding period.

[03]

Total Return & CAGR

CAGR represents the annualized compound return required from the current market price to reach the Year 5 target price. The model automatically ensures Bear ≤ Base ≤ Bull consistency.